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The Real Eisman Playbook

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The Real Eisman Playbook is your front-row seat to the insights, strategies, and perspectives of legendary investor Steve Eisman. Best known for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, Steve brings his sharp analysis and no-nonsense approach to dissecting the markets, global economy, and investment trends shaping the future. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just curious about how the financial world really works, The Eisman Playbook delivers the knowledge you need to stay ahead. Tune in for expert commentary, candid conversations, and actionable takeaways from one of Wall Street’s most influential minds.

Latest episodes

Gary Marcus on AI Doomsday Fears, Hacking, & the Fight for Control | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 79

On episode 79 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with AI critic Gary Marcus to unpack the growing fears surrounding artificial intelligence, from rogue AI agents and cybersecurity failures to predictions of human extinction. They examine whether these companies are amplifying doomsday narratives to attract investment and shape regulation in their favor. 00:00 - Intro 01:10 - The A

12 Oct 2026 · 50 min
Q3 2026 Market Recap: Energy Up, Utilities Crushed, and Software Flipped | The Weekly Wrap

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman delivers a comprehensive Q3 2026 market breakdown. He discusses why energy was the best performing sector, why utilities got crushed, and why the SAASpocalypse narrative flipped. Steve also acknowledges that over 65% of the S&P 500 is now a single bet on AI and

9 Oct 2026 · 25 min
5% Rates, Bessent's Failed Gamble & What Comes Next w/ Krishna Guha | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 78

On episode 78 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Krishna Guha, Evercore's Fed watcher, to break down why the ten-year yield has marched from 4.5% to over 5%. He explains that it's a perfect storm of AI debt issuance crowding out Treasuries, war-driven oil prices, the massive deficit, and Kevin Warsh's deliberate withdrawal of the forward guidance guardrails that previous Fed

5 Oct 2026 · 51 min
Why Private Equity's Software Bet Is Going to Zero | The Weekly Wrap

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman covers a dramatic week for FICO, in which its decades-long mortgage monopoly effectively broke. Steve then delivers a deep dive into private equity's overexposure to software buyouts, why the SAASpocalypse has cut valuations by 50% or more, and why the refinanci

2 Oct 2026 · 27 min
What the AI Boom Looks Like From Inside Cisco with Sam Badri | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 77

On episode 77 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Sam Badri, Head of Investor Relations at Cisco, for an inside look at what the AI boom actually looks like from within a major technology company. Sam explains why he believes we are still very early in AI adoption, with roughly 90% of users stuck at the basic prompt stage and very few having progressed to skills files or AI ag

28 Sep 2026 · 46 min
The Enron-Era Tricks Are Back in AI: How These Companies Are Hiding Their Debt | The Weekly Wrap

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman discusses why the off-balance sheet financing techniques that caused Enron's collapse and amplified the GFC are back in full force in the AI world. He also covers the Ten Year yield breaching 5.1%, Paramount being cleared for takeoff with WB, troubling news from

25 Sep 2026 · 28 min
Stock Picking in Difficult Times with George Noble | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 76

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On episode 76 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with George Noble, former portfolio manager at Fidelity and now a Substack newsletter writer, for a wide-ranging conversation covering Scott Bessent's attempt to repress interest rates, the yen carry trade, the Tesla/SpaceX struggles, and much m

21 Sep 2026 · 51 min
Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman explains why the recent extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman are not genuine concerns about superintelligence, but rather a deliberate shell game designed to invite government regulation and create pricing moats. Steve also covers the Fed raising

18 Sep 2026 · 24 min
The Big Short Partners Reunite: Rates, AI, Gold and Two Stock Picks | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 75

On episode 75 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with his former Big Short partners Vincent Daniel and Porter Collins for a wide-ranging conversation covering the bond market, Scott Bessent's Treasury buyback program, the OpenAI risk, gold, and more. They also pull back the curtain on the mechanics of modern hedge fund shorting and share two live short ideas. 00:00 - Intro 00:50 -

14 Sep 2026 · 53 min
AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman breaks down the ten-year yield breaching 4.9%, the recent AI doomsday fears, OpenAI's surprise price cut on its latest model, Oracle's strong 30% revenue growth, Tesla's disappointing robotaxi event that sent the stock down 6%, and much more! 00:00 - Intro 02:51

11 Sep 2026 · 24 min
P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On episode 74 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Ryan Tunis, property and casualty insurance analyst at Cantor, for a comprehensive deep dive into personal lines, commercial lines, reinsurance, and insurance brokers. Ryan explains why he's cautious on personal lines as new driver assistan

7 Sep 2026 · 46 min
Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman breaks down the economy’s growing dependence on AI spending. He explains why OpenAI could be the Achilles’ heel of the AI trade, and what its potential failure could mean for the broader economy. Plus, Steve discusses Meta’s latest settlement, where investors co

4 Sep 2026 · 26 min
The AI Trade, Rising Rates, and Why the Market Is Still Standing | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 73

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On episode 73 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Jason Trennert & Chris Verrone from Strategas for a wide-ranging mid-year reality check on a tumultuous 2026. They cover the AI capex debate, the war in Iran, private equity's monetization problem, and why the market has proven far more res

17 Aug 2026 · 45 min
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman examines the biggest risks facing the AI boom, with a focus on Anthropic and OpenAI and their growing importance to the hyperscalers. He also discusses investing in uncertain markets, the battle between upstarts and established businesses, the future of software,

14 Aug 2026 · 30 min
Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On episode 72 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Glenn Schorr of Evercore and Ken Worthington of JP Morgan for a sweeping deep dive into the ticking time bomb in private credit software loans, agentic AI's impact on retail brokers, crypto use cases and Bitcoin's fading relevance, and a su

10 Aug 2026 · 50 min
SpaceX Disappoints, AI's Free Cash Flow Shrinks, Meta Struggles | The Weekly Wrap

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman breaks down the week in markets, including SpaceX's highly anticipated earnings, the growing impact of AI spending on free cash flow, and why Meta continues to struggle while Palantir, Microsoft, and Amazon tell a different story. He also examines the collapse o

7 Aug 2026 · 21 min
250 Years of American Capitalism: Hamilton, the GFC, & the AI Boom | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 71

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On episode 71 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Adrian Wooldridge, journalist and co-author of Capitalism in America with Alan Greenspan, to mark the 250th anniversary of American independence with a sweeping tour of U.S. economic history, from the Hamilton vs. Jefferson debate that shap

3 Aug 2026 · 51 min
The AI Debate Gets More Complicated: Microsoft Has a Win, Meta Stumbles | The Weekly Wrap

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman covers a massive earnings week headlined by Microsoft posting 30% EPS growth while Meta saw EPS fall 13%. Steve also covers results from Visa, Quanta, Bloom Energy, and Starbucks, a disappointment from Apple, a brutal week for FICO, and much more. He also takes

31 Jul 2026 · 27 min
The AI Revolution: Who Wins, Who Loses & the SaaSpocalypse | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 70

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On episode 70 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Dan Ives and Gil Luria for a wide-ranging debate on the most important question in markets right now: has the AI trade fundamentally changed, and what does that mean for the stocks that dominate most portfolios? They discuss where we stand

27 Jul 2026 · 54 min
Google's Negative Cash Flow and the AI Capex Reckoning | The Weekly Wrap

Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman covers a pivotal week in markets. Google raised its AI capex to $205 billion, posted negative free cash flow, and saw its stock fall 7%, while Tesla was also down 14.5%. Steve also covers results from GE Vernova, Lockheed Martin, Moody's, Blackstone, and Service

24 Jul 2026 · 23 min